The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical systems, including one with a 70% chance of formation. AccuWeather warns of the possibility of named storms continuing into December. Texas may be affected, although exact impacts remain uncertain.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently monitoring three tropical systems, seeking to evaluate any imminent impacts on the state of Texas. This assessment comes shortly after AccuWeather predicted the formation of one to three additional named storms by the year’s end. As we approach the conclusion of the hurricane season in November, there is a warning from AccuWeather regarding the possibility of tropical activity extending into December—a rare occurrence since the last event in 2007 with Tropical Storm Olga. Alex DaSilva, Lead Hurricane Expert at AccuWeather, stated, “We’ve been saying it since the very beginning of the hurricane season… that we thought the end of the hurricane season could get quite active [in November].” Presently, the NHC is observing a tropical depression in the southwestern Caribbean Sea, anticipated to become a tropical storm within the week. A primary focus is on a broad low-pressure area projected to form in the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is anticipated to develop gradually into a tropical depression later this week, likely moving northward or northwestward. The formation chance over the next seven days stands at a significant 70%, although for the next 48 hours, it is relatively low at 30%. Importantly, the potential impact on Texas remains uncertain at this stage. In addition to the Caribbean activity, the NHC is keeping watch over two other systems in the Atlantic. One is located near Puerto Rico, where a trough of low pressure is producing showers and thunderstorms, with a slow development forecasted as it approaches the Greater Antilles, although it is expected to dissipate into a broader Caribbean low. Formation chances are notably low at 10%. The final observed system is a non-tropical low-pressure area situated 400 miles west of the Azores, which is also unlikely to develop significantly within the coming days. AccuWeather emphasizes that, regardless of tropical development, substantial rainfall is expected across much of the Caribbean this week, leading to potential mudslides and flash flooding—an important consideration even if the weather systems do not generate named storms.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with substantial meteorological activity typically peaking in September and October. The National Hurricane Center issues advisories and warnings to inform communities about developing systems in the Atlantic basin. The 2024 season has been dynamic, with early forecasts suggesting a high number of named storms, which may continue until the end of the season, possibly extending into December. This heightened activity leads to increased vigilance, particularly in states susceptible to such weather disturbances, like Texas. AccuWeather’s insights provide a predictive framework that allows for better preparation and response to potential impacts from these tropical systems.
In summary, the National Hurricane Center is actively monitoring three tropical systems, with one having a notable 70% chance of formation. While the southern states, particularly Texas, remain on alert, the precise impacts of these systems are still being assessed. Forecasts suggest a potential for heightened tropical activity as the hurricane season draws to a close, marking a critical time for preparedness across vulnerable regions.
Original Source: www.statesman.com
