Burundi’s GDP growth is projected to decrease from 2.2% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 due to weak domestic demand and increased military spending. A recovery is expected in 2026, with growth anticipated at 4.5% as agricultural conditions improve.
The projected real GDP growth for Burundi is expected to decline slightly from 2.2% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025. This reduction can be attributed to subdued domestic demand, which is influenced by increasing challenges to private consumption. Furthermore, elevated military spending is anticipated to hinder government consumption that typically fosters economic growth.
Anticipating the following year, growth is predicted to rebound to 4.5% in 2026. This improvement will likely stem from favorable agricultural conditions, which are expected to alleviate domestic price pressures, thereby enhancing private consumption.
It is important to note that this analysis is published by BMI, a Fitch Solutions subsidiary and should not be interpreted as a commentary on Fitch Ratings’ Credit Ratings. The data and insights provided in this report originate solely from BMI and independent sources, independent of Fitch Ratings’ involvement.
In summary, Burundi’s economic forecast indicates a slight decrease in GDP growth from 2024 to 2025 due to muted domestic demand and increased military expenditure. However, a reversal is anticipated in 2026 with projected growth reaching 4.5%, bolstered by improved agricultural conditions that could stimulate private consumption.
Original Source: www.fitchsolutions.com
