Portugal is preparing for its third snap general election due to Prime Minister Luís Montenegro’s confidence vote, which is likely to lead to his government’s dissolution. The vote arises amidst scrutiny of Montenegro’s business activities, particularly regarding the consultancy Spinumviva. The Socialist Party and Chega plan to vote against the government, potentially resulting in elections in May.
Portugal is poised for its third snap general election in two years as Members of Parliament prepare to discuss a motion of confidence that may unseat the centre-right government. Prime Minister Luís Montenegro, leader of the Democratic Alliance (AD), initiated the confidence vote following increased scrutiny of his family’s business affairs. The vote is scheduled for Tuesday and is largely seen as pivotal for the country’s political future.
Montenegro has refuted any allegations of misconduct and expressed that the vote aims to “end the atmosphere of permanent insinuations and intrigues.” Despite his efforts, both the centre-left Socialist Party (PS) and the far-right Chega party have committed to voting against the government, indicating a likely loss for Montenegro. The PS and Chega collectively hold 128 seats in the 230-seat parliament, compared to the AD’s 80 seats.
Should Montenegro lose the confidence vote, there is a high probability that President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa will dissolve parliament, leading to elections potentially scheduled for May 11 or 18. Central to the controversy are allegations concerning Spinumviva, a consultancy that Montenegro established, which was later transferred to his family’s ownership.
The opposition claims that Spinumviva has benefited from contracts with private firms, including those in the gaming industry. Although no investigation is currently underway, prosecutors are reviewing an anonymous complaint related to Montenegro’s business activities. This political turmoil comes after the abrupt resignation of Socialist Prime Minister António Costa in November 2023, who stepped down amid an inquiry into his management of green investment initiatives.
The previous general election, held in March 2023, saw a narrow victory for the AD with 80 seats, while the PS secured 78 seats, and Chega increased its representation significantly. Current polls suggest that a forthcoming May election may yield similar outcomes, with the AD leading at approximately 30%, followed closely by the PS, and Chega at 18%.
In conclusion, Portugal faces a significant political moment as Prime Minister Luís Montenegro’s government confronts a crucial confidence vote. The upcoming elections in May could reshape the political landscape, influenced by allegations surrounding Montenegro’s business dealings and previous governmental transitions. With early polls indicating a closely contested race, the actions taken in the coming days will determine the future direction of Portugal’s leadership.
Original Source: www.theguardian.com
