Turkey is poised to capitalize on France’s military withdrawal from Africa, attempting to expand its influence amidst rising anti-French sentiments. Erdogan has intensified diplomatic and military engagements across the continent, despite warnings of potential overstretch, emphasizing the importance of strategic resource management. As the situation evolves, Turkey may need to balance its expansion with economic realities and the potential for cooperative engagements.
Turkey is poised to seize opportunities in Africa following France’s recent military withdrawal from the Sahel and West Africa. Experts indicate that France’s reduced presence could serve as an opening for Turkey, which is leveraging its NATO membership and robust arms export market. However, it is crucial for Turkey to manage its resource allocation effectively to avoid overstretching its capabilities on the continent.
The withdrawal of French troops, including the transfer of a base in Côte d’Ivoire and a departure from Chad, is part of a wider decrease in military engagement by France in Africa. Federico Donelli, an international relations expert, notes that the transformation in the region stems from local demands expelling traditional powers like France, not due to external constraints.
Donelli points out that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has significantly increased Turkey’s diplomatic representation in Africa over the last 20 years, focusing on an appeal to Islamic bonds while also reminding African nations of France’s colonial legacy. This strategy appears to resonate with African audiences, presenting Turkey as an ally amid a shifting geopolitical landscape.
Elem Tepecikoglu highlights that Turkey’s momentum in Africa accelerated following France’s inability to tackle insurgent threats effectively in the region. He argues that the disillusionment with French military endeavors has paved the way for Turkey, which has established defense agreements with several Sahelian nations and reportedly deployed military advisers to Chad.
Recent developments also include a notable strengthening of military ties between Senegal and Turkey, particularly after a high-level meeting in Istanbul, coinciding with Senegal’s calls for the withdrawal of French forces. Turkey’s competitive defense industry, known for its cost-effective and versatile military products, is gaining prominence among African nations seeking reliable military solutions.
While Turkey’s role in Africa is expanding, it still faces competition from major powers like Russia, China, and the United States. However, Donelli suggests that Turkey’s NATO status affords it a unique diplomatic advantage, allowing African nations to engage without severing ties with Western allies.
Despite this potential for growth, experts warn that Turkey’s swift expansion may lead to resource strain. Huseyin Bagci, a professor of international relations, cautions about the risks of diplomatic overstretch, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a sustainable strategy amidst economic challenges and a desire to foster better relations with Europe. Thus, Turkey may consider focusing on cooperative initiatives in Africa rather than antagonistic approaches.
In conclusion, Turkey is actively seeking to expand its influence in Africa as France reduces its military presence in the region. While this presents significant opportunities for Turkey under President Erdogan’s leadership, experts underscore the importance of managing resources wisely to avoid overstretching. The shifting dynamics in Africa, characterized by rising anti-French sentiments and Turkey’s attractive defense offerings, could reshape the geopolitical landscape, leading to new partnerships and cooperative engagement.
Original Source: www.rfi.fr
