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How South Sudan Returned to the Brink of War

South Sudan faces renewed conflict following a U.N. helicopter attack amid rising tensions between the national military and the opposition. Political strife, ethnic violence, and the impact of U.S. aid cuts exacerbate the situation. Uganda’s military deployment underscores regional dynamics influencing South Sudan’s fragile peace. Calls for dialogue and reforms highlight the urgent need for resolution.

South Sudan, the world’s youngest nation, is once again facing the threat of war after a recent attack on a United Nations helicopter. During an evacuation mission in Upper Nile State, the incident resulted in the death of one crew member and significant injuries to two others. This attack came amid escalating clashes between government forces and an opposition group, prompting the United States to withdraw nonemergency personnel from the country due to security concerns.

The primary parties in the ongoing conflict are the South Sudanese national military, led by President Salva Kiir, and the White Army, a faction aligned with Vice President Riek Machar. The civil war, which erupted in 2013, saw violent conflict culminating in a fragile peace agreement in 2018, which has since shown signs of instability. Ethnic tensions, especially between the Dinka and Nuer groups, continue to fuel violence, leading to widespread displacement and economic downturn.

The recent escalation is attributed to actions taken by the government against Machar’s allies, including mass arrests in Upper Nile State. Following accusations from Machar’s coalition that the government targeted them, further military confrontations ensued. The U.N. helicopter attack occurred despite assurances of safe passage, highlighting the precariousness of the situation in South Sudan.

Sudan’s humanitarian crisis has worsened due to cuts in American aid, with significant reductions in funding affecting food and health programs. Reports indicate that these cuts are exacerbating food insecurity and could lead to outbreaks of diseases. The U.S. invested $760 million in South Sudan in 2023 to support various humanitarian initiatives.

Additionally, Uganda has sent special forces to South Sudan, proclaiming their support for President Kiir as a means to ensure stability. Citing security concerns, Ugandan officials have warned that any threat to Kiir would be seen as a declaration of war against Uganda. Previous deployments by Uganda’s military have been aimed at bolstering Kiir’s regime amid ongoing health and security worries surrounding his presidency.

Looking forward, the international community, including the United Nations and regional bodies, has called for dialogue and de-escalation of tensions. The Intergovernmental Authority on Development has urged the government to release detained officials and to pursue constitutional reforms ahead of the upcoming elections. The failure to stabilize South Sudan risks further conflict, potentially drawing in regional players amid ongoing turmoil in neighboring Sudan.

The situation in South Sudan remains fragile, with recent violent escalations threatening the peace established in 2018. Key players such as President Salva Kiir and Vice President Riek Machar are at the center of ongoing ethnic conflicts, compounded by external influences, including Uganda’s military presence. Humanitarian aid cuts are worsening living conditions, while international calls for dialogue indicate a critical juncture in South Sudan’s pursuit of lasting stability ahead of upcoming elections.

Original Source: www.nytimes.com

Niara Abdi

Niara Abdi is a gifted journalist specializing in health and wellness reporting with over 13 years of experience. Graduating from the University of Nairobi, Niara has a deep commitment to informing the public about global health issues and personal wellbeing. Her relatable writing and thorough research have garnered her a wide readership and respect within the health journalism community, where she advocates for informed decision-making.

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