U.S.-led ceasefire talks in Saudi Arabia involve Ukraine and Russia, with a focus on a 30-day energy strike ceasefire, Black Sea shipping, and territorial control. Although expectations are tempered by Kremlin warnings, discussions also address U.S. interests in Ukraine’s resources and military guarantees amidst ongoing violence.
Ceasefire discussions are underway in Saudi Arabia involving representatives from both Ukraine and Russia, influenced by U.S. President Donald Trump’s push for a truce by Easter. This marks a significant moment, as it is the first parallel peace negotiation since the onset of Putin’s full-scale invasion. On April 20, both Western and Orthodox Easter celebrations coincide, providing a symbolic deadline for potential agreement.
Despite the diplomatic efforts, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov has tempered expectations of a swift truce, indicating that progress is “unlikely” and characterizing the discussions as merely the “beginning” of a challenging negotiation process. These talks arise after recent violence in Ukraine, including deadly drone strikes.
The planned agenda includes a proposed 30-day ceasefire focusing on strikes to energy infrastructure, which was tentatively agreed upon via previous discussions between Mr. Trump and Mr. Putin. However, there are concerns about the agreement’s feasibility, as Ukraine accuses Russia of violations. Kyiv’s president, Mr. Zelensky, has indicated a willingness to create a list of facilities eligible for partial ceasefire.
An additional topic of interest is the potential resumption of the Black Sea shipping deal, which was initially brokered by the UN in July 2022. Russia’s withdrawal from this agreement has raised questions, but recent comments from Kremlin representatives suggest openness to discussion.
Another critical issue on the table is Russia’s control of Ukrainian territories. The U.S. special envoy highlighted the need for Mr. Zelensky to address Moscow’s claims to the four disputed regions, a requirement that is likely contentious given Ukraine’s resistance to acknowledging Russian sovereignty.
Moreover, while previously Ukraine hinted at territorial concessions in exchange for NATO membership, both sides remain skeptical of the prospect. Moscow insists on restrictions to Ukraine’s military capabilities, while Western nations are attempting to form a coalition to provide security assurances.
The Trump administration has also indicated a desire to engage with Ukraine’s mineral and energy resources, which could serve as a deterrent to further Russian aggression. Recent dialogue suggests an interest in U.S. involvement in Ukraine’s nuclear energy sector and gas infrastructure, especially in the context of European gas dependencies.
Prisoner exchanges have occurred, with both nations announcing the return of a significant number of soldiers. Additionally, discussions on easing Western sanctions and the prospect of Ukraine’s presidential elections have been raised, though the conditions for conducting elections during wartime remain complicated.
As negotiations progress, the outcome remains uncertain, with both sides facing substantial challenges. Nonetheless, these talks represent a critical effort towards establishing a path to peace amidst a prolonged conflict.
In summary, the ongoing ceasefire negotiations in Saudi Arabia are pivotal in the quest for peace between Ukraine and Russia. Major points of discussion include a proposed short-term ceasefire, the control of contested territories, and the resumption of previous agreements like the Black Sea shipping deal. Moreover, the U.S. expresses interest in Ukraine’s energy resources, revealing the complexities surrounding military support and sanctions. The outcome of these diplomatic efforts will significantly impact the future of Ukraine amidst continued hostilities.
Original Source: www.independent.co.uk