Iran is grappling with setbacks in Syria as its proxies weaken and opposition forces gain momentum, complicating its support for the Assad regime. Major Iranian officials recognize the challenges posed by increased militant activity and the destabilizing influence of the U.S. and Israel, while Hezbollah’s losses diminish available military support. Iran may pursue new partnerships to bolster its efforts in Syria amidst these difficulties.
Iran is currently facing significant challenges in supporting the Syrian regime amid setbacks from opposition groups and the weakening of its regional proxies. Iranian officials have recognized the difficulties presented by the recent surge of militant activity in Syria, attributing it to a coordinated scheme by the United States and Israel aimed at destabilizing the Assad regime, which is a critical component of Iran’s Axis of Resistance.
The Iranian media cited comments from Major General Mohammad Bagheri, Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces, outlining these challenges while expressing the need for international collaboration, particularly with Russia, to address the crisis. The recent territorial gains by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Aleppo and the clashes between U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and Syrian military troops indicate a shifting balance of power that further threatens Iran’s position in the region.
Amid these setbacks, Iran’s primary ally, Hezbollah, has been severely impacted following sustained confrontations with Israel, resulting in substantial casualties which diminish its capability to support the Syrian regime. Observing the weakened state of its proxies, Iran has been proactive in reaching out to various regional players, reaffirming its commitment to aid Assad’s regime. Reports indicate that a senior figure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has been dispatched to Syria to coordinate potential military assistance if requested by the Assad administration.
Nonetheless, the uncertainty surrounding the deployment of additional Iranian forces or militias remains prevalent, as both Iran and Russia seem hesitant to deploy ground troops. As the situation evolves, Iran’s ability to maintain influence and control over the Syrian front will largely depend on strategic partnerships and the swift response of its military apparatus. A potential deal with Turkey to counter HTS’s advances in Aleppo may also be a crucial step for stabilizing Iran’s influence in Syria.
Iran’s involvement in Syria is crucial for its strategic interests and its Axis of Resistance, which includes groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iraqi militias. Since the beginning of the Syrian conflict, Iran has provided significant military assistance, supporting the Assad regime against various opposition factions. However, recent developments in Syria have posed major threats to Iran’s efforts, as both regional dynamics and the weakened state of its allied militias hinder effective support for the Assad government’s survival. The geopolitical climate is further exacerbated by U.S. overtures and the presence of American forces backing the SDF in the region.
In summary, Iran’s position in Syria is increasingly precarious, marked by internal challenges and the deteriorating effectiveness of its regional proxies. The recent advancements of opposing factions such as HTS and confrontations between regime forces and U.S.-backed militias underscore the urgent need for Iran to reevaluate its military and diplomatic strategies. Cooperation with allies, including Russia and possibly Turkey, may be vital for Iran to regain the upper hand and sustain its influence within the Syrian conflict.
Original Source: www.jpost.com