Hurricane Rafael, now a Category 2 storm, is moving slowly west across the Gulf of Mexico, with potential weakening due to unfavorable conditions. It made landfall in Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, impacting the electrical grid. A tropical storm warning has been lifted for the Dry Tortugas, but life-threatening conditions persist in the Gulf. The chance of a new tropical disturbance forming has been reduced to 20%.
Hurricane Rafael has escalated to a Category 2 storm, currently charting a westward course across the Gulf of Mexico. The conditions in this area are less favorable compared to the Caribbean, with the presence of significant wind shear, dry air, and cooler waters likely to weaken the storm as it progresses. According to the National Hurricane Center, Rafael may downgrade to a tropical storm by Sunday upon nearing Mexico. As of the latest report on Thursday at 7 a.m., the tropical storm warning for the Dry Tortugas has been lifted, and there are no additional watches or warnings in effect. Meteorologists caution that Rafael could produce dangerous surf and rip currents across the Gulf, posing threats to marine activities. Rafael made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane on Wednesday in western Cuba, inflicting severe damage to the already struggling electrical infrastructure of the nation. This storm follows Hurricane Oscar, which struck Cuba’s eastern region in October, resulting in eight fatalities and considerable damage to approximately 20,000 homes. The hurricane center has also reduced the likelihood of a new tropical disturbance developing north of Puerto Rico and Haiti, now estimating only a 20% chance it may evolve into a tropical depression in the upcoming week.
As the hurricane season progresses, the Gulf of Mexico often presents a more challenging environment for tropical storms due to its characteristic weather conditions. Hurricane Rafael serves as a reminder of the vulnerability of coastal regions, particularly highlighted by its recent impact on Cuba, which faced considerable destruction from previous hurricanes as well. The National Hurricane Center plays a crucial role in providing updates and warnings regarding storm trajectories and potential impacts.
In summary, Hurricane Rafael is navigating westward across the Gulf of Mexico, with forecasts suggesting a possible weakening as it approaches the Mexican coastline. The storm has already caused notable damage in Cuba, drawing attention to the region’s vulnerability to extreme weather events. As forecasters monitor Rafael’s path and possible developments, public safety remains a top priority, particularly concerning surf conditions in the Gulf.
Original Source: www.tampabay.com
